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World University Rankings 2025: Australia stands on precipice

Half of sector goes backwards in this year鈥檚 table, as international student caps threaten more damage

Published on
October 9, 2024
Last updated
October 8, 2024
A map of Australian showing global links
Source: iStock

Browse the full results of the World University Rankings 2025

Australian higher education stands on the brink of a long-anticipated dive in its international standing, after almost half the sector went backwards in this year鈥檚聽探花视频聽World University Rankings.

Seventeen of Australia鈥檚 38 assessed institutions lost ground this year, including the five best-ranked universities. Seven recorded their worst results in at least nine years, while just four moved up the league table.

The average ranking of Australian universities declined by five places. Their mean scores fell by 0.2 points compared with an average increase of 0.5 points worldwide.

RMIT University rankings expert Angel Calderon said Australia鈥檚 鈥渟obering鈥 downturn had mainly been driven by declining scores in聽THE鈥檚 reputation surveys. He warned of worse to come, as the furore around聽international enrolment caps聽was likely to influence the results of the next poll.

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鈥淚f this debate continues, I think a few people will basically be feeling less sympathetic towards Australia,鈥 he said.

Change in ranking position of Australia鈥檚 top 10 universities, 2024-25

Graph showing change in ranking position of Australia鈥檚 top 10 universities, 2024-25

Dr Calderon said the results also reflected the pandemic鈥檚 impact on universities鈥 financial health. 鈥淎ustralia has done really well for many years, but the years in which [it] was the shining star probably have gone past.鈥

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Phil Baty,聽THE鈥檚 chief global affairs officer, said Australian universities were also losing ground in international research collaboration and overseas recruitment 鈥 areas of traditional strength. Australian institutions suffered slight declines this year in their average scores for international students, staff and co-authorship, following steeper falls last year in the student and authorship metrics.

鈥淚nternational student caps鈥ay further erode income for some top institutions [and] diminish Australia鈥檚 world-leading reputation as an open and internationally facing sector,鈥 Mr Baty warned.

Consultant Justin Bokor said Australian universities鈥 rankings were likely to continue deteriorating. 鈥淵ou can have a high-performing higher ed sector, a low call on the public purse, or capped international student numbers,鈥 he said. 鈥淵ou can鈥檛 have all three.

鈥淎 high-performing higher ed sector costs a lot of money, and if you can鈥檛 subsidise it through international education and you want to cap the public purse, then you lose performance over time.鈥

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Mr Bokor said the rankings data聽mostly reflected conditions two years earlier. Australian universities had benefited in 2021 from an聽extra A$1 billion (拢520 million) in research funding聽and the聽divestment of their shares聽in education services giant IDP. But by 2022 these sugar hits had waned,聽with 27 institutions reporting deficits.

Coronavirus impacts, ironically, also favoured Australian universities鈥 recent rankings performance. The 鈥渞esearch income鈥 metric 鈥 the average grant earnings of each academic 鈥 was inflated by聽mass retrenchments聽of university staff early in the pandemic, while relatively high exchange rates in 2021 and early 2022 also enhanced Australia鈥檚 income measures.

To some, a dip in Australia鈥檚 international rankings matters little when the federal government is intent on capping overseas student numbers. But Dr Calderon said rankings had 鈥渁 bigger market than just students鈥.

Mr Bokor said rankings were markers of 鈥減restige鈥 with implications for universities鈥 ability to recruit high-calibre staff, build partnerships and establish offshore operations. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not just recruitment, it鈥檚 across the board.鈥

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He said rankings performance featured in most university leaders鈥 key performance indicators. 鈥淰ice-chancellors will say, 鈥榃e shouldn鈥檛 be so obsessed with rankings.鈥 They say that when they鈥檙e happy with their position.鈥

john.ross@timeshighereducation.com

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