Mark Carney’s whirlwind start as Canadian prime minister has seen his party surge in the polls against the backdrop of Donald Trump’s threats but has provided little time to flesh out the newcomer’s policies on higher education and science.

When Justin Trudeau announced his resignation in January, the Liberal party was trailing the Conservatives by more than 20 percentage points and was only narrowly ahead of the New Democratic Party.

But since Trump started a trade war with what he has belittled as his “51st state”, the Liberals have rebounded remarkably in the polls and are now favourites to retain power in the snap election on 28 April.

Although the federal government is the primary player when it comes to investments in research and innovation in Canada, higher education has seldom been a major issue in national elections, said Glen Jones, professor of higher education at the University of Toronto��(���Ǵڰ�).

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“Not surprisingly, the entire election is focusing on the trade war that has been initiated by President Trump,” he said.

“The Carney platform, at least to date, has largely been about providing support and stability to individuals and industries that will be directly impacted by tariffs.”

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Carney has been focusing primarily on positioning himself as the leader best positioned to respond to the new, evolving relationship with the US – a strategy that seems to be working, added Jones.

The Conservatives’ leader Pierre Poilievre’s echoes of Trump – and his promises to “defund wokeism and fight antisemitism” in universities – have been a disaster for his party since the start of the year, particularly when contrasted with Carney’s “elbows up” mantra.

Sarah Laframboise, executive director of Evidence for Democracy, a science policy non-profit organisation, said Carney’s background – as a former United Nations special envoy for climate action – suggests that he will remain committed to his views on climate policy, and that his pro-economic growth platform could translate into targeting investments at research, innovation and artificial intelligence.

“We will also likely see an increased focus on defence-related research, particularly around Arctic security and collaborative defence technologies. However, it remains unclear if this will extend to basic research,” said Laframboise.

“Additionally, his restrictive stance on international student admissions could have significant consequences for Canada’s higher education sector.”

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It remained to be seen what impact  dating from his time at the University of Oxford will have on the race.

Carney, who has never previously held elected office, earned a master’s degree and a doctorate in the UK, before later going on to become governor of the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020.

Marc Johnson, professor of biology at Toronto’s Mississauga campus, said Trudeau made important investments in science funding during the last federal budget, but it was only a “partial investment that staunched the bleeding” from previous mistakes.

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“The investment fell short of reinvigorating funding for science, tech and the innovation sector,” he said.

“If the Carney Liberals are elected to power, I think we can expect the previous government’s investment to stay…but will they double-down on that investment?”

Having examined Carney’s website – which mentions artificial intelligence 11 times, innovation once and science not at all – Johnson said the prime minister’s priorities in future funding seemed fairly clear.

With either Carney or Poilievre in charge, he said the next government had an “amazing opportunity” to invest in science, technology and innovation.

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“Given the USA’s deep cuts to science funding, Canada has the opportunity to leap forward as a global leader in strategic areas, but only if we increase our investment in science, training, technology, and mobilisation of the innovations that come from these activities.”

patrick.jack@timeshighereducation.com