As Russian troops advanced on Kyiv in late February, Kateryna Zarembo finally made the decision to leave her home, along with her four children.
鈥淚 wanted, up until the very last minute, to believe the war wouldn鈥檛 happen,鈥 recalled Dr Zarembo, a senior lecturer at the National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy who is now based at the Technical University of Darmstadt, in south-west Germany. 鈥淲e had been asked to pack emergency supplies 鈥 dried fruit, matches and sleeping bags 鈥 in a suitcase ready to go but we weren't completely ready,鈥 she continued, adding: 鈥淚 understand now why we needed those things.鈥
These stories of聽families being separated聽(Dr Zarembo鈥檚 husband remains in Ukraine) and children driven from their homes are reminiscent of other war zones in recent years, but there is arguably a crucial difference: although scattered across the world, Ukrainians 鈥 including many academics 鈥 are still speaking directly to the world about their plight, offering instant analysis and insight on social media often before foreign correspondents and newsrooms have had a chance to unpick events.
One recent example was the heartrending pop video, shot in the ruins of Bucha and Irpin, released by Ukraine鈥檚 Kalush Orchestra, shortly after聽its song Stefania triumphed at the Eurovision Song Contest in Turin. As the聽聽rescuing children became a viral sensation, clocking more than 17 million views on YouTube alone, Dr Zarembo聽聽about how the pop group had skilfully negotiated Eurovision鈥檚 strict 鈥渘o politics鈥 rules to bring the atrocities of war to a new global audience.
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鈥淪mart timing, courageous position and professionalism are a recipe for success,鈥 she reflected on the 鈥渁symmetrical strategies鈥 that offered hope for Ukraine in other fields of conflict.
鈥淎s a policy analyst I am used to reacting quickly to events and providing advice but we鈥檙e now bringing these insights to the wider public,鈥 she told聽探花视频.
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These immediate reflections on the war via Twitter threads or longer articles are not just about gaining retweets or likes, insisted Dr Zarembo. 鈥淎cademics can provide strategic insights that really make a difference to what is going on,鈥 she insisted, stating that recent articles by Yale University 蝉肠丑辞濒补谤听听补苍诲 University of Copenhagen 补苍补濒测蝉迟听聽framing the war in terms of Russia鈥檚 colonial ambitions聽have helped shift political perceptions of the war. 鈥淭hese things help to change minds in Brussels and Berlin,鈥 Dr Zarembo insisted.
Insight from Ukrainians is just one of the ways in which war studies has changed since the turn of the year. The discipline has become much more collaborative, with Twitter users jumping on experts鈥 threads to add their own analyses, said Russia specialist Jenny Mathers, senior lecturer in international politics at Aberystwyth University. 鈥淭here was a whole thread on Russian truck tyres after someone noticed their discolouration and what this poor condition could mean further down the line,鈥 said Dr Mathers, who said that this input from non-war specialists was creating unprecedented engagement with the discipline.
鈥淧eople are following Ukrainians directly too 鈥 one Kyiv resident, known as 鈥樷, has more than 100,000 followers on Twitter as people want to see everyday life in Ukraine,鈥 she added.
It has helped bust a few myths about war studies being slightly set back from current affairs, said Dr Mathers. 鈥淧eople maybe imagine war studies is the departmental version of the History Channel, with people simply discussing the Second World War 鈥 that is still important research, but war studies is about so much more, from the economy of war, or how war interacts with culture, the arts, theatre or music,鈥 she added.
While war studies experts can have an almost unlimited run on television or radio if they wish, said Dr Mathers, there was also new demand for even more immediate commentary, with some academics gaining hundreds of thousands of followers on social media since February.
One of those is Phillips O鈥橞rien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, whose pre-conflict Twitter following of about 2,000 has now passed the聽. 鈥淚n that way, the war has brought a completely unexpected prominence to a wide group of war and strategic studies scholars,鈥 he told聽THE.
Moreover, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has revealed 鈥渟ignificant shortcomings鈥 in public understanding about military conflicts, with war studies experts helping to provide some answers, said Professor O鈥橞rien.
鈥淕oing into the war that the overwhelming consensus that Russia would smash Ukraine relatively quickly was based on no evidence beyond an admiration for Russian weapons and strange disregard, almost disinterest, in the possibilities of Ukrainian resistance,鈥 he said, adding that he set out these ideas in January, a month before the invasion, having been 鈥渞eally confused by how sure people were about Russian success鈥.
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While predicting Vladimir Putin鈥檚 next move is always a risk 鈥 Professor O鈥橞rien admitted he聽 鈥 he nonetheless believed it was 鈥渨orthwhile to try and provide some possible answers if you believe you have evidence to support your views鈥.
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鈥淚 felt I had a pretty good handle on the importance of air power and logistics in war-making, so I set myself those tests early in the war. Did I see Russia as capable of controlling the battlefield with airpower and did Russia have a working, well-constructed logistics system? The answers seemed pretty clear in the opening days 鈥 no. And from that I felt I had some handle on what we were seeing,鈥 he said.
Traditionalists may disagree on whether this daily pontificating is worthwhile, but 鈥渇alling back on the 鈥榳ho knows?鈥 response鈥 does not add to the political and military issues at stake, insisted Professor O鈥橞rien. 鈥淚鈥檝e said what I was seeing when the evidence seemed to provide some support for that view. I let the chips fall where they may,鈥 he said.
Not everyone is so comfortable with some of the experts being invited into television studios to talk about Ukraine. 鈥淭here are now too many armchair generals who are prepared to say virtually anything for a fee and the plethora of new outlets who are prepared to pay,鈥 said聽Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, former head of the British Army鈥檚 chemical weapons division who served in Iraq and Afghanistan before helping uncover atrocities in Syria.聽 鈥淚 am one myself, but I only comment on things I really understand like [chemical weapons] and Syria,鈥 said the visiting fellow at Magdalene College, Cambridge.
Nevertheless, keeping Ukraine in the spotlight will be important to ensure the country owns the war鈥檚 narrative, rather than Russia, Mr de Bretton-Gordon said. 鈥淪trategic communications have come of age in Ukraine and much more focus than [in any other conflict] on shaping the narrative. If Ukraine and Nato can get the correct message to the Russian people, Ukraine will prevail. Though Putin seems unbothered by collateral damage, civilian casualties and war crimes, they will eventually bring him down.鈥
And war studies experts can certainly help combat forces adapt quickly to meet the changing threat posed by the Russian army, argued Mr de Bretton-Gordon.
鈥淚n the UK we are especially dreadful at not learning lessons, forgetting lessons and fighting the last war. There perhaps is an arrogance of some commanders to not study the art of warfare and believe they are right just because of the position they hold,鈥 he said.
鈥淪o the study of war could not be more important than it is at the moment.鈥
jack.grove@timeshighereducation.com
Star analysts on the rise
Sir Lawrence Freedman
The official historian of the Falklands War, and emeritus professor of war studies at King鈥檚 College London, has reached a new audience thanks to Twitter 鈥 where he has 鈥 and a , run with his son Sam, a former education adviser to the UK government.
Michael Kofman
Advised senior military and government officials while at the US鈥 National Defense University and is now director of the Russia studies programme at the Virginia-based Center for Naval Analyses, and senior fellow at Washington鈥檚 Woodrow Wilson International Center. He is one of the most-read experts on the war via his , and via his .
Rob Lee
Former US Marine, now a PhD student in King鈥檚 College London鈥檚 department of war studies, and senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. Shares videos of artillery and bomb strikes by Ukrainian and Russian forces with his聽.
Maria M盲lksoo
The Estonian-born senior researcher in the University of Copenhagen鈥檚 Centre for Military Studies is author of The Politics of Becoming European: A Study of Polish and Baltic Post-Cold War Security Imaginaries and聽has won acclaim for her recent study, published in the聽Journal of Genocide Research, which explores Russia鈥檚 postcolonial mentality.
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Timothy Snyder
The Richard C. Levin professor of history at Yale University is one of the world鈥檚 foremost experts on central Europe and a prolific pundit. The author of Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin and On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth Century has , and a . He has accused Vladimir Putin of 鈥済enocidal intent鈥.
POSTSCRIPT:
Print headline: How the Ukraine conflict has turned the world鈥檚 attention to war studies
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